Arbeitsschritt 1: (23.05.2011)

Von der Projektleitung als klassifiziert eingestuft

Daher keine weiteren internen Informationen

Evaluation of Scenario-based research planning New Zealand - Oceania - Jamaica: Carribean.

Evaluation of "small world" - showcase method

Search engines

• http://www.google.ca
• http://scholar.google.at/

Evaluation template

• / GENERAL INFORMATION

Author: organization/department name, and/or complete name of the author.

Type of Result: indicate type of the final out-put.

In-puts and out-puts: indicate the in-puts needed to carry out the method and the out-puts of the process.

Cost: indicate the average cost of implementation of the method (economic [€] and human resources [man-hour]).

Time requirements: indicate the average time required to execute the method until the results are obtained. Specify preparation time, implementation time and recompilation/analysis time of the information gathered if suitable.

End-User involvement: indicate if user involved in the study, and in which phase (definition of the scenarios, analysis, etc.).

How the end-user is involved: indicate how the end-user is involved in study (interviews, questionnaires, workshops, etc.).

Other requirements: indicate other specific requirements (if needed) that go beyond necessary economic or human resources, to carry out the method.

FOCUS APPLICABILITY

Best practices applicable to FOCUS: best practices that can be implemented and used within the FOCUS methodology.

Inconveniences of its application to FOCUS: inconveniences that make the method not suitable to FOCUS.

Implementation phase: indicate to what “possible phase” corresponding to the future FOCUS methodology could it be applied (definition, execution or analysis of scenarios, definition of EU roles, identification of technologies, definition of roadmaps, etc.)

Complexity: indicate the level of difficulty of use of the method and its implementation in relation with FOCUS work plan (there is a 4 month time frame for each thematic scenario development).

Required adaptations: indicate “possible” required adaptations of the methodology in order to be applied to FOCUS.

IT support: indicate if the method is supported by any IT tool, or if it feasible to be supported or not by an IT implemented process.

DESCRIPTION OF THE METHOD

Include the description of the method.

PROCESS

Include method diagram (phases, steps).

EvaluationSheets

Copy the template and fill it in

Search Results

• / Scenario planning: http://www.scenariomanagement.de/fileadmin/user_upload/Scenario-based_strategic_planning_WP.pdf and also: http://doc.utwente.nl/70240/1/Wullink03scenario.pdf
• Google books: case research: http://books.google.at/books?hl=de&lr=&id=Ly_Fy0cl_XEC&oi=fnd&pg=PR3&ots=jkoq_Z5t8q&sig=CFr_uE4QIy_-zQ3-govunnw1lMg#v=onepage&q&f=false
• Science direct: participatory foresight: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304389401002606
• Science direct: Foresight for developing countries: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162509000031
• New Zealand Foresight organization (Attention invalid security certificate of https://www.aare.edu.au/99pap/har99065.htm - therefore CopyHere1
• Food security and sustainable development: http://www.idra.it/garnetpapers/C02D_Hanzl-Weiss_J_Poschl.pdf
• New Zealand foresights: http://www.scientists.org.nz/files/journal/2011-68/NZSR_68_1.pdf#page=26
• Science Direct:Technological forecasting and social change: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S004016250800036X#secx2
• Key word "small worlds scenarios": http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328706000607
• Foresight 2.0: programmatic paper: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328709001888(über die BOKU nicht beziehbar)
• Christopher J. L. Murray and Alan D. LopezThreats? to health: Evidence-based policy against pandemics:Science 1 November 1996: Vol. 274 no. 5288 pp. 740-743 DOI: 10.1126/science.274.5288.740 http://www.sciencemag.org/content/274/5288/740.short (über die Boku nicht beziehbar).
• Scenario-based design: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0953543800000230 and this one: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095354380300002X

Security journals - Foresight journals

Here:

• Security journals: http://www.palgrave-journals.com/sj/journal/v22/n2/index.html
• World-Future review: http://www.wfs.org/wfr

Precursor projects to FOCUS

• / CESCENDO: http://www.crescendo-project.org/scripts/home/publigen/content/templates/show.asp?L=EN&P=55&vTicker=alleza

• / EUSEC II http://lab.unicri.it/eusecII.ht (not accessible)
• / INEX: http://www.inexproject.eu/ (accessible)
• / Eugrasp: http://www.eugrasp.eu/
• / Eusecon: http://www.economics-of-security.eu/eusecon
• / Festos http://www.festos.org/ (accessible, could be helpful for breaking the "Global Integrated Village Environment" down to the ground of real global villages -->message to the hosts of the Dorfwiki.
• / Foresec: http://foresec.eu/ (accessible)
• / Seren: http://www.seren-project.eu/ (restricted access by pass words)
• / Sicma (accessible: Health care as critical infrastructure): http://www.sicmaproject.eu/SicmaProjectSite2008/
• / Straw http://www.straw-project.eu/ (accessible).
• / Staccato (not accessible error 404: http://www.asd-europe.org/Content/Default.asp?PageID=34)

Search results specificly New Zealand

• / http://www.act.org.nz/national-security-policy
• / http://www.scientists.org.nz/files/journal/2011-68/NZSR_68_1.pdf#page=26

GlobalScenarioGroup